Wild Weather This Weekend
We've reached the end of the week and our weather is deceptively quiet on this Friday. Some high cirrus clouds are passing through and have filtered our sun a bit but they'll thin out as we head into this afternoon and we'll end up with the sunniest day we've had after a week dominated by low, stratus clouds. Temperatures will recover into the low to middle 50s...pretty close to our average high this time of year.
The evening remains tranquil although temperatures will fall quickly down toward 40 degrees after sundown so dress warm for High School Football playoff games. The coldest part of tonight will be near midnight in the upper 30s...after that clouds will thicken ahead of a warm front and temperatures will start rising overnight. Some rain showers will skirt near and north of I-64 late...and there might even be a rumble or two of thunder heard near Route 50 toward dawn.
That warm front is associated with a developing low pressure system that will rapidly strengthen Saturday as it tracks to our northwest up into the Great Lakes. Heading to Morgantown early in the day you may encounter some rain up I-79...but I think most of the wet weather exits by midday and for most of the afternoon. Clouds may even thin for sun in spots as winds turn blustery and quite gusty at times from the south. That will help us to spike well into the 60s in the afternoon and if we can get some sun out 70 isn't out of the question. Even Morgantown should warm to 55 to 60 during the game and while a brief shower is possible, I think most of the rain falls prior to the game itself. For mid-November it won't be too bad. High School playoff games that kick at 1:30 p.m. should be good too although the wind may make the kicking game difficult.
The heavy weather with this system will arrive late afternoon and evening with the associated cold front. Right now it looks to arrive near or after sundown from west to east...so 5 pm west and 7-8 pm in Central West Virginia. A well-organized line of at least some heavy rain if not some thunder and lightning will roll through. This will be capable of producing strong wind gusts as it arrives. Then as the cold front crosses winds will shift direction and gust between 40 to 50 mph. The combination of rain and wind means at least some scattered power outages are likely Saturday evening. If you're headed to the Huntington/Hurricane game at 7:30 p.m. definitely bring the raingear and be ready to head for shelter. Even when the worst of the rain exits it will remain very windy.
Overnight temperatures will crash behind the front...and enough moisture in the mountains will linger for a change to wet snow, especially as an upslope northwest flow sets up. Right now it looks like a dusting of snow is possible along US 19...with 1-2" east of there by dawn Sunday. Ski resorts like Snowshoe, Canaan Valley and Timberline should get about 3" .
We're back to Winter on Sunday with temperatures starting in the 30s and barely cracking 40 for the afternoon in the lowlands. Strong gusty winds will put wind chills in the 30 to 35 degree range for most of the day. As skies clear Sunday night temperatures will drop into the mid 20s for hunters heading out in the woods. Winds will start to diminish overnight into dawn Monday.
The weather next week looks pretty quiet. We'll recover to 50 Monday and hit 60 Tuesday as another cold front arrives. This one is much weaker than Saturday's front and will likely pass through with no rain. Temperatures will turn chillier Wednesday and Thursday with highs around 50 for Thanksgiving but it looks dry and quiet for us and most of the East Coast for the big travel period.