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Despite speculation, Trump's unconventional run makes VP nomination unpredictable

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks during a news conference at the Trump National Golf Club, Tuesday, March 8, 2016, in Jupiter, Fla. (AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)

Bearing the title of "presumptive nominee," Donald Trump disclosed Thursday that he plans to name his candidate for Vice President during the Republican National Convention in July.

Trump shared his plans with The Associated Press Thursday telling them that "a lot of people are interested," in seeing who he selects.

The speculation over who Trump will select as his nominee is a natural part of the campaign cycle, and as The New York Times described, is one that generates demand for the expertise of Joel K. Goldstein, who is a "leading authority on the United States vice presidency" and the Vincent C. Immel Professor of Law at Saint Louis University School of Law.

"Whenever the presidential nomination gets resolved the media folks turn to the vice presidential choice and that becomes the focus," Goldstein told Sinclair when asked about the speculation we're seeing unfold over Trump's selection.

"To that extent I think what's happening is not unusual," Goldstein said.

"Giving it added attention is just the consequence of the choice, because Trump is such a novelty in terms of an American presidential candidate."

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"There's more interest because of the novelty of who Trump is and also just the extremely divided nature of the situation on the Republican side," Goldstein explained.

Asked about the difficulty of predicting which direction Trump would take his Vice Presidential selection in, Randall Miller, political analyst and professor of history at St. Joseph's University remarked on the unpredictability of Trump's candidacy.

"It's almost impossible to predict because he's so unpredictable," Miller remarked.

"He's not a conventional candidate so it's even more difficult to sort of get inside his head and make a judgement," Goldstein said comparing Trump to more standard candidates like Mitt Romney or George W. Bush.

"That gets compounded," Goldstein explained, by the fact that we don't know what Trump's options will be or what needs he and his team will decide "should most dictate the choice."

"Typically presidential candidates involve people in the Vice President selection who either are very close confidants," or who are "sort of pillars of the Republican or Democratic establishment," Goldstein explained.

"So how Mr. Trump structures the selection will be significant," Goldstein said, questioning whether Trump has "people of that sort of caliber," involved in his selection process.

"It's novel," Goldstein said "really for a variety of reasons."

"He's such an idiosyncratic nominee," Goldstein reiterated also listing "the fact that the party is so divided and the fact that the pool [of potential running mates] seems likely to be more shallow," as potential complications arise.

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While the list of more traditional vice presidential picks seems short, there are all sorts of other names on the list. Ben Carson, who is part of Trump's selection committee, hinted at the chance of a Democratic selection. Joe Biden has joked about it Trump asking him.

Asked if it's possible for Trump's Vice Presidential nomination could "throw us all for a loop," Eli Stokols of Politico noted that few pundits have correctly predicted Trumps path so far.

"We're in a whole new world of politics. I mean, all these things that we thought mattered may not matter anymore with Donald Trump at the top of the ticket," Stokols said.

Trump has said that he plans on selecting someone who has prior government experience. He may have difficulties doing so, as many of the established lawmakers a conventional candidate would turn to have expressed a reluctance to support him.

"It clearly makes it more difficult when so many people who would be the conventional people that a presidential candidate would look to take themselves out of the running," Goldstein.

Among the names being floated are that of female Republican Governors, including Nikki Haley of South Carolina and Susana Martinez of New Mexico. While many political pundits, and perhaps the Trump campaign itself view the selection of a female running-mate as a potential asset, one expert noted it won't necessarily translate to the support of female voters.

"Trump's unfavorable ratings with women voters is so high (70% according to a recent Gallup poll), that it is highly unlikely that selecting a woman VP running mate would have any effect on how women cast their votes in the Fall, for Trump or against him," explained Michael Pisapia, assistant professor of politics and international affairs at Wake Forest University.

"This is especially so, given that Hillary Clinton - who is very popular with white and nonwhite women voters, and who is viewed by them for good reasons as being highly qualified for the job - will be on the ballot."

"Women tend to vote more on the basis of the policy positions of the candidates," Pisapia explained.

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"They don't cast their votes just because a candidate is a woman," Pisapia said, stressing that the "policy positions have to be in place first."

Pisapia cited Clinton again, explaining that if voters did not support her policy positions and didn't find her qualified for the job she would not receive their votes.

Her being a woman, Pisapia said is "like a bonus, but if the first two things weren't in place they wouldn't support her."

"That should just be obvious because democratic voting women don't vote for Republican women."

"Even if Trump selected a qualified, policy detailed, and experienced elected official like Gov. Nikki Haley from SC, her presence on the ticket is not likely to make a big difference, since most voters cast their vote for the top of the ticket," Pisapia explained.

Haley has expressed a resistance to joining the Trump campaign, something Miller found entirely unsurprising.

"She doesn't need Trump," Miller said noting that "she could turn the invitation down."

Describing how Haley has her own narrative, Miller said, joining up with Trump "cannot help her at all."

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Miller explained the historically, the vice presidency has been seen as a "stepping stone."

"People will accept this this not just because they want to serve their country but because it can also be very self-serving in terms of ambition," Miller explained.

Serving as Donald Trump's Vice President, the end result could be very different.

"If you hitch your star to Trump, what gain will come from that?" Miller questioned.

"This is going to be a nasty nasty campaign," Miller said.

Noting that Trump has demonstrated that "he can be downright nasty," citing his comments about women and Latinos as examples.

If Trump says something "politically insensitive," or that alienates a specific demographic, Goldstein said "the running mate is going to be among the first people expected," to respond, defend and explain the comment.

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"They're going to be the primary defender of the positions he takes and the statements he makes during a campaign," Goldstein said.

In addition, Goldstein noted, while the results of presidential campaigns are "mostly dictated," by the person on the top of the ticket, the results will have "some impact on the political future of the running mate."

"If the ticket does really poorly it doesn't help your career as much," Goldstein said.

"That's another calculation a vice presidential candidate has to make, what's the likely impact on my career in running for Vice President," Goldstein explained.

"The less attractive the option becomes, the more likely you are to end up with a weak running mate because other people will conclude it's not worth the risk."

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